Can Sam Bradford lead the Rams to more than 6 wins?

Editor's Note: Zierlein also picked every win total for the AFC. Check it out here »

*Quality opponents are teams that had at least 9 wins in 2011

NFC East

New York Giants

9 Over -130/Under - EVEN
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 9.5  2011 Wins 9
TSV Says: The Giants came on strong in the playoffs and looked like one of the best teams in the league, but from a futures standpoint, they didn't play with consistency last year and there are still some consistency issues to be concerned about.  Tough schedule, but fair number.
OVER 9.5 - 55% confidence rating

Philadelphia Eagles

9.5  Over -140/Under +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 8
2011 Odds 10.5  2011 Wins 8
TSV Says: It's hard to find a talented team who disappointed more than the Eagles last year.  Half of the Eagles games are against teams who won 9 or more games last year which is one of the reason their number is a full win lower headed into 2012.  If the focus is there this year (which it wasn't in 2011), then this team can get to 10 or 11 wins.
UNDER 9.5 - 40% confidence rating

Dallas Cowboys

8.5 Over -155/Under +125
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 9  2011 Wins 8
TSV Says: The Cowboys have a terrific set of WRs and one of the top pass catching TEs in the league, but I have lingering concerns about injuries with Miles Austin and Jason Witten and it is hard to trust Dez Bryant's maturity level.  If the secondary doesn't step it up, the Cowboys  could fall apart and take Jason Garrett down with them.
UNDER 8.5 - 65% confidence rating

Washington Redskins

6.5 Over -120/Under - EVEN
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 6.5  2011 Wins 5
TSV Says: Team Shanahan has lost it's luster over the years, but the 6.5 wins seems a little aggressive despite adding to the offensive side of the ball in the offseason.  To go over 6.5, the Redskins will have to get solid play from rookie QB Robert Griffin and the defense will have to hold up in a tough division.
UNDER 6.5 - 60% confidence rating

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers

10 Under -145/Over +115
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 7.5  2011 Wins 13
TSV Says: The 49er's surge to prominence caught everyone off guard last season and Jim Harbaugh's leadership had as much to do with their success as anything else.  Defensively, the 49ers should be the same team, but the concern is whether or not Alex Smith can duplicate his solid play from last season.
UNDER 10 - 40% confidence rating

Seattle Seahawks

7.5 Over -150/Under +120
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 6.5  2011 Wins 7
TSV Says: Once again, a rookie QB is being counted on to lead a team and is a scary proposition for bettors who like the win total to go OVER.  Their solid rushing attack and an emerging defense causes me to lean towards the Seahawks getting to 8 wins this season.  A soft schedule certainly doesn't hurt my optimism.
OVER 7.5 - 60% confidence rating

Arizona Cardinals

7 Under -200/Over +160
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 6.5  2011 Wins 8
TSV Says: Look, I know that the Cardinals were able to get over the win total last year, but that was then and this is now.  With the Seahawks taking a step forward (at least in my mind) I see the Cardinals taking a small step back.  I don't like the QB play in Arizona, but then again, nobody else does as the juice is an outrageous -200 to play the UNDER.
UNDER 7 - 65% confidence rating

St. Louis Rams

6 Over -125/Under -105
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 7.5  2011 Wins 2
TSV Says: I honestly don't remember there being enough optimism surrounding the Rams to warrant a 7.5 win total last year and I'm certainly shocked that they have a total as high as 6 this season.  Sam Bradford will have to show me something that I don't think is there before I'm willing to stop recommending an UNDER play.
UNDER 6 - 80% confidence rating

NFC South

Atlanta Falcons

9 Over -140/Under +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 4
2011 Odds 10.5  2011 Wins 10
TSV Says: Atlanta's new up-tempo offense is probably a better fit for Matt Ryan than what they were doing last year.  The defense still isn't where the Falcons would like it to be, but with the weapons they feature in the passing game now, the Falcons should be able to impose their will against a very soft schedule.
OVER 9 - 70% confidence rating

New Orleans Saints

10 Under -170/Over +140
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 10  2011 Wins 13
TSV Says: The Saints offense is prolific and will continue to be prolific even with the departure (for the year) of head coach Sean Payton.  However, you can count me as one who believes that Payton plays a much larger role in the Saints success than most are giving him credit for.  I think the odds are stronger that the Saints finish with 9 to 10 wins rather than 10 to 11.
UNDER 10 - 50% confidence rating

Carolina Panthers

7.5 Over -140/Under +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 4.5  2011 Wins 6
TSV Says: The question really isn't how much you buy into Cam Newton's expected growth for 2012, but rather the potential growth of the defense.  I fully expect the running game to be a significant factor this year and I trust Newton in year 2.  I can't, however, say that I trust the Panthers defense just year when it comes to backing an 8 win season.
OVER 7.5 - 40% confidence rating

Tampa Bay Bucs

6 Over -135/Under +105
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 8  2011 Wins 4
TSV Says: Anyone who bets the OVER with Tampa Bay must take into account that they have a new coach this season who is coming from college and that the defense absolutely quit on their former coach (Rahim Morris) who was supposedly a player's coach.  There is talent in Tampa, but not much character.
UNDER 6 - 50% confidence rating

NFC North

Green Bay Packers

12 Under -175/Over +145
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 11.5  2011 Wins 15
TSV Says: The Packers flew over the win total last year, but this year's number of 12 will take some work.  The Packers division is obviously more challenging with Cutler back and everyone will be gunning for them each week.  I've got the Packers winning 13 games, but the bounces could easily go against them in 2012.
OVER 12 - 55% confidence rating

Chicago Bears

9.5 Over -115/Under -115
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 8.5  2011 Wins 8
TSV Says: The Bears defense is getting older at some key positions so it wouldn't surprise me if they weren't quite as stingy as they once were on that side of the ball.  Offensively, I live the additions of Michael Bush and Brandon Marshall, but until the Bears can protect the passer consistently, double digit wins will be tough to accomplish.
OVER 9.5 - 50% confidence rating

Detroit Lions

9  Under -140/Over +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 7.5  2011 Wins 10
TSV Says: The Lions went flying over their predicted win total last year which earned them a bump in win expectations by 1.5 this year.  I think the number (9) is more than fair, but I also think the Lions off the field issues could be a sign of some turbulence to come.
UNDER 9 - 55% confidence rating

Minnesota Vikings

6 Under -125/Over +105
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 7  2011 Wins 3
TSV Says: One of the biggest obstacles facing bettors who want to back a successful Vikings campaign is the difficult division Minnesota finds themselves in.  Like the NFC East last year, the NFC North (including the Vikings) could find that getting to an OVER is much tougher when every division game is a street-fight.
UNDER 6 - 65% confidence rating