Can Brandon Weeden get more than one win for the Browns this year?

Editor's Note: Zierlein also picked every win total for the NFC. Check it out here »

*Quality opponents are teams that had at least 9 wins in 2011

AFC East

New England Patriots

12 Over -125/Under -105
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 4
2011 Odds 11.5  2011 Wins 13
TSV Says: The Patriots offense should be even better with a more legitimate outside WR in Brandon Lloyd and RB Ridley ready to burst onto the scene.  Defensively, there is nowhere to go but up for the Patriots.  The competition within the division looks worse than we thought it would be in June.  As long as the offensive line isn't a complete and total disaster, the Patriots should go over 11.5
OVER 12 - 75% confidence rating

New York Jets

8.5 Under -175/Over +145
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 10   2011 Wins 8
TSV Says: Things are quite combustible in New York and Rex Ryan has to be feeling the pressure in 2012.  Bringing Tim Tebow in could explode in the Jets' faces or could end up having a stabilizing effect on the locker room.  While the offense figures to finish in the bottom third of the league, the schedule could end up helping the Jets to more wins than expected.
OVER 8.5 - 50% confidence rating

Buffalo Bills

8 Over -155/Under +125
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 5.5   2011 Wins 6
TSV Says: While everyone was excited with the Bills draft and free agency, the big question is still going to be how QB Fitzpatrick plays.  The Bills need to be better than the Jets to go over the total of 8 wins despite not having an outrageously difficult schedule.  If Fred Jackson is back at 100% and if the defense takes a big step up, then average QB play could get them to 9 wins.
OVER 8 - 40% confidence rating

Miami Dolphins

6.5 Over -115/Under -115
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 7.5   2011 Wins 6
TSV Says: The more Hard Knocks we watched, the more we realized what a mess the 2012 Dolphins look like they'll be.  The Dolphins aren't really settled at any of the skill positions on offense and are switching to a new defensive front this year.  The Dolphins schedule actually gives them a fighting chance over their first six games and if they can come out 4-2 or even 3-3, they have a shot at getting over 6 wins.
UNDER 6.5 - 75% confidence rating

AFC West

Denver Broncos

9 Over -120/Under -110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 5.5   2011 Wins 8
TSV Says:  The Broncos first seven game might find them as a favorite only once and there are four nationally televised games within those first seven.  Manning's arm strength isn't what it was, but his efficiency in the redzone will be a welcome site.  The win total is right where it should be, but if the AFC West is as even as we think it should be, this prop bet isn't even worth touching.
UNDER 9 - 55% confidence rating

San Diego Chargers

9 Under -155/Over +125
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 10   2011 Wins 8
TSV Says:  Is Philip Rivers ready to bounce back this year or has he seen his best days?  It's hard to imagine that Rivers will struggle as much as he did last year, but without Vincent Jackson, Rivers probably won't be the same passer he once was.  Ryan Mathews and the running game are huge components in the Chargers drive for a division title and the defense has to find a pass rush this season.
UNDER 9 - 65% confidence rating

Kansas City Chiefs

8 Under -140/Over +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 7.5   2011 Wins 7
TSV Says:  The Chiefs defense should continue to improve on what we saw from this last season and if so, they could end up with a division title.  The Chiefs QB only has to be average since the running game with Charles and Hillis will be the base for the offense.  If J. Baldwin can step up this season, the Chiefs may get the push they need from the passing game.  I feel like they probably land on 8 wins.
OVER 8 - 45% confidence rating

Oakland Raiders

7 Over -120/Under -110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 6.5   2011 Wins 8
TSV Says:  The Raiders have the talent at running back and wide receiver to explode on any given Sunday, but they don't have efficient QB play and their secondary worries me.  The Raiders schedule from weeks 3-11 is pretty brutal and I could see the momentum rolling the wrong way either due to poor play from Palmer, an injury to McFadden or simply a poor first half of the season.
UNDER 6.5 - 55% confidence rating

AFC South

Houston Texans

10 Over -180/Under +150
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 8.5   2011 Wins 10
TSV Says:  The Texans offense looks terrific on paper, and should pick up where they left off before Schaub got hurt last year, but the passing game may be more prominent than last year.  We know the Colts will be better, but it is hard to tell if the same thing will be true with the Titans and Jags within the division.
OVER 10 - 55% confidence rating

Tennessee Titans

7 Over -150/Under +120
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 6.5   2011 Wins 9
TSV Says:  The Titans won 9 games last season but their over/under total is at 7 this year which is pretty telling in terms of what the line-makers think of them.  If the Titans don't have a bounce-back year from Chris Johnson and if Jake Locker struggles, this number feels like it is dead on.
OVER 7 - 40% confidence rating

Indianapolis Colts

5.5 Over -130/Under -EVEN
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 9.5   2011 Wins 2
TSV Says:  We all believe that Andrew Luck is going to help upgrade the Colts offense, but he's still not Peyton Manning so poor offensive line play could have a greater impact on him.  The Colts will be better, but most of their wins will come in the first half of the season and if they don't get their wins there, they are in trouble because the second half is much tougher.
UNDER 5.5 - 60% confidence rating

Jacksonville Jaguars

5.5 Under -120/Over -110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 8
2011 Odds 6   2011 Wins 5
TSV Says:  The Jaguars have 8 games against quality opponents (9 wins or more in 2011) and they feature a QB who looked like he was being chased by zombies (not the Walking Dead kind, but the fast kind from 28 Days Later).  The good news is that we could see some of the "quality" opponents regressing and Gabbert progressing.
OVER 5.5 - 40% confidence rating

AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

10 Over -150/Under +120
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 6
2011 Odds 10.5   2011 Wins 12
TSV Says:  It seems like every season, the Steelers fortunes are directly tied to what they're doing rather than what is happening with their opponents.  Pittsburgh usually controls their own destiny and in 2012 we'll see the same.  If the Steelers adjust to Todd Haley's offense, they'll approach 10 wins, but that defense ain't what she used to be.
OVER 10 - 40% confidence rating

Baltimore Ravens

10 Under -190/Over +155
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 10.5   2011 Wins 12
TSV Says:  The Ravens schedule looks like it could cause significant problems if their defense doesn't hold up.  The juice on the UNDER play is -190 so Vegas agrees.  Even with an improved passing attack, the Ravens pass rush is a concern with Suggs out and I'm not sure the Ravens are prepared to win with offense instead of defense.
UNDER 10 - 55% confidence rating

Cincinnati Bengals

8 Under -140/Over +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 5
2011 Odds 5.5   2011 Wins 9
TSV Says:  I believed that the Bengals were on pace to be the worst team in football last year headed into the season, but Dalton and A.J. Green became bigger factors than anticipated.  Four of their first six are on the road, but the schedule is soft enough that the Bengals could come out 4-2 or even 5-1.  Over 8 seems like stretch though.
UNDER 8 - 50% confidence rating

Cleveland Browns

5 Under -140/Over +110
Games Vs. Quality Opponents: 7
2011 Odds 6.5   2011 Wins 4
TSV Says:  It's going to be hard to back any OVER plays with a team featuring a rookie QB and two rookie skill position players.  I like Trent Richardson as much as the next guy, but I don't see him being able to carry the Browns to a 6 win season.  Within that division, Cleveland probably wins just one game if any.
UNDER 5 - 80% confidence rating